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  • 當前位置: 制冷網 > 資訊 > 行業快訊 > 正文

    中國空調行業步入存量時代

      【中國制冷網】由中國家用電器協會與國家信息中心信息化和產業發展部指導、中國家電網主辦的“2019—2020中國空調行業高峰論壇”今天在京舉行。包括海爾、海信、美的等在內的國內外主流空調品牌商與核心零部件企業代表參加了本次會議,著重探討國內空調市場規模步入中長期穩態階段后,行業出現的新挑戰以及應對思路。

      論壇上國家信息中心發布的數據顯示,2019冷年國內空調零售市場規模實現6056萬套,銷售量同比下降7.59%,銷售額同比下降9.95%。國家信息中心資深產業專家蔡瑩局長認為,兩方面原因造成了這一局面,一是三年連續增長造就市場基數創新高,增速回調已成必然;一是國內家庭空調保有量已達新高,城市市場基本飽和,農村市場雖有增量但獨木難撐整個大盤,在房地產市場低迷,產品中低端同質化嚴重的情況下,增量基礎不穩固。

      中國家用電器協會理事長姜風認為,國內空調的市場環境正由增量階段向存量階段過渡,更新換代將成為行業發展的第一動力,而“低增長”將成為常態。不過,對于行業未來前景,她表示依然看好,一方面極端天氣的頻繁出現刺激了全球空調需求的增長;一方面我國農村家庭空調百戶保有量僅為55套,對比冰洗產品的保有量,還有較大提升空間;同時,品質升級趨勢下,更新換代需求也會逐漸釋放。

      奧維云網副總裁韓昱提到,現階段市場大盤整體表現低迷,新冷年開盤經銷商持觀望態度的居多。在他分享的國內空調全渠道零售推總數據中可以看到,1-7月,國內空調銷售量約為4114萬套,同比下降0.6%,其中線上同比增長17.9%至1745萬套,線下同比下降10.9%至2369萬套;銷售額整體實現1369億元,同比下降3.8%,其中線上同比增長15.0%至501億元,線下同比下降12.1%至868億元。

      在量額齊降的壓力下,2019冷年品牌間的競爭更加激烈,尤其第一陣營對中小品牌的擠出效應明顯,同2018冷年相比,第一陣營品牌市占率提升1.93個百分點至82.37%;同時第一陣營繼續引領國內空調市場趨勢,也體現了技術走向的主旋律。此外,一批跨界而來的互聯網、渠道商品牌也加入戰團,依托性價比優勢蠶食著第二陣營品牌和長尾品牌的市場份額,雖然他們體量較小,但“性情兇猛”,發展迅速,產生了擾動傳統市場的鯰魚效應。壓力之下,價格競爭逐漸滲透入每一細分品類市場,低端空調價格更已壓近成本線。

      市場壓力之下,更多品牌轉向以技術迭代換利潤空間。越來越多企業的產品開始搭載舒適、智能、自清潔等相關技術,推動了這些細分類目產品均價下行,有利于優質技術普惠更多消費者。而平價大眾產品之外,3500元以上中高端掛機和7000元以上中高端柜機線下重點城市市場占比均呈連年上升趨勢,說明品質升級的趨勢依然延續。

      論壇透出的信息顯示,新冷年空調行業依然面臨較大壓力。在一個行業的市場低迷期,往往容易出現一些非理性競爭,比如惡性價格戰,互相攻擊等等現象,這不利于行業的健康發展,行業自律就尤為重要,正是在這種背景下,本屆空調高峰論壇上,新一屆中國家用電器a協會空調專業委員會宣布成立。
     

    標簽: 空調  

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